Monday, November 24, 2008

Cassel's time

Matt Cassel is developing for sure. In the first half of the season, he seemingly only had the ability to make one read. If that option was covered he was doomed. The next option often resulted in stepping up into the on-coming rush. I was highly critical of him both privately and on Football Outsiders.

However, his improving pocket pressence and new-found mobility have allowed him to make multiple reads. Note the change in sacks. In his first 5 full games, he was sacked 23 times. In the latest 5 games, 9 sacks. The offensive line has not materially changed over that time period. During those same sets of games, he rushed for 46 yards (with 29 coming against Denver), versus 140 yards. The additional time he's given himself behind the line of scrimmage has led to a more wide open game plan, and a ability to throw the ball downfield. Was anyone else surprised how often the Patriots came out in empty-backfield formations yesterday?

He has now thrown for 400+ yards in two games in a row. Considering Brady didn't do that even with last year's absurd numbers is impressive. However, before we get too crazy, Miami and New York have very mediocre pass defenses. According to our Football Outsiders rankings, incoming Pittsburgh has the third best pass defense in the league (as well as the second best run defense). I'll be there to watch it in person.

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