Obama says we DON'T have a spending problem. He is soooo wrong, but the reality is he doesn't care. His potential legacy is winning things that change the country. If he focuses on the spending problem, he won't be able to do his legacy things.
Therefore compromise isn't an option. My way or the highway.
The Fiscal Cliff deal was tragic. Not because it raised taxes on those making greater than $400k per year (although that affects about 750,000 small businesses), but rather because it does nothing to fix the deficit. In fact, with some new spending snuck in, it actually ADDS to the deficit by $4 trillion over 10 years according to the non-partisan CBO. $4 trillion! great. Nice job everyone.
But in the end, Obama only wanted to raise taxes, and knew that if we went off the cliff, the general population would blame the Republicans. The Dems and their media lapdogs have done enough PR to make that so. Instead Obama gets to put out press releases touting that now we have the "most progressive tax code in decades." I don't recall that being the Fiscal Cliff objective.
Peggy Noonan of the WSJ writes this good article regarding Obama, the negotiator:
We're all talking about Republicans on the Hill and their manifold
failures. So here are some things President Obama didn't do during the
fiscal cliff impasse and some conjecture as to why.
He won but he did not triumph. His victory didn't resolve or ease
anything and heralds nothing but more congressional war to come.
He did not unveil, argue for or put on the table the outlines of a
grand bargain. That is, he put no force behind solutions to the actual
crisis facing our country, which is the hemorrhagic spending that
threatens our future. Progress there—even just a little—would have
heartened almost everyone. The president won on tax hikes, but that was
an emotional, symbolic and ideological victory, not a substantive one.
The higher rates will do almost nothing to ease the debt or deficits.
He didn't try to exercise dominance over his party. This is a largely
forgotten part of past presidential negotiations: You not only have to
bring in the idiots on the other side, you have to corral and control
your own idiots.
He didn't deepen any relationships or begin any potential alliances
with Republicans, who still, actually, hold the House. The old animosity
was aggravated. Some Republicans were mildly hopeful a second term
might moderate those presidential attitudes that didn't quite work the
first time, such as holding himself aloof from the position and
predicaments of those who oppose him, while betraying an air of disdain
for their arguments. He is not quick to assume good faith. Some thought
his election victory might liberate him, make his approach more
expansive. That didn't happen.
The president didn't allow his victory to go unsullied. Right up to
the end he taunted the Republicans in Congress: They have a problem
saying yes to him, normal folks try to sit down and work it out, not
everyone gets everything they want. But he got what he wanted, as surely
he knew he would, and Republicans got almost nothing they wanted, which
was also in the cards. At Mr. Obama's campfire, he gets to sing
"Kumbaya" solo while others nod to the beat.
Serious men don't taunt. And they don't farm the job of negotiating
out to the vice president because no one can get anything done with the
president. Some Republican said, "He couldn't negotiate his way out of a
paper bag." But—isn't this clear by now?—not negotiating is his way of
negotiating. And it kind of worked. So expect more.
Mr. Obama's supporters always give him an out by saying, "But the
president can't work with them, they made it clear from the beginning
their agenda was to do him in." That's true enough. But it's true with
every American president now—the other side is always trying to do him
in, or at least the other side's big mouths are always braying they'll
take him down. They tried to capsize Bill Clinton, they tried to do in
Reagan, they called him an amiable dunce and vowed to defeat his wicked
ideology.
We live in a polarized age. We have for a while. One of the odd
things about the Obama White House is that they are traumatized by the
normal.
A lot of the president's staffers were new to national politics when
they came in, and they seem to have concluded that the partisan
bitterness they faced was unique to him, and uniquely sinister. It's
just politics, or the ugly way we do politics now.
After the past week it seems clear Mr Obama doesn't really want to
work well with the other side. He doesn't want big bipartisan victories
that let everyone crow a little and move forward and make progress. He
wants his opponents in disarray, fighting without and within. He wants
them incapable. He wants them confused.
I worried the other day that amid all the rancor the president would
poison his future relations with Congress, which in turn would poison
the chances of progress in, say, immigration reform. But I doubt now he
has any intention of working with them on big reforms, of battling out a
compromise at a conference table, of having long walks and long talks
and making offers that are serious, that won't be changed overnight to
something else. The president intends to consistently beat his opponents
and leave them looking bad, or, failing that, to lose to them sometimes
and then make them look bad. That's how he does politics.
Why?
Here's my conjecture: In part it's because he seems to like the
tension. He likes cliffs, which is why it's always a cliff with him and
never a deal. He likes the high-stakes, tottering air of crisis. Maybe
it makes him feel his mastery and reminds him how cool he is, unrattled
while he rattles others. He can take it. Can they?
He is a uniquely polarizing figure. A moderate U.S. senator said the
other day: "One thing not said enough is he is the most divisive
president in modern history. He doesn't just divide the Congress, he
divides the country." The senator thinks Mr. Obama has "two whisperers
in his head." "The political whisperer says 'Don't compromise a bit,
make Republicans look weak and bad.' Another whisperer is not political,
it's, 'Let's do the right thing, work together and begin to right the
ship.'" The president doesn't listen much to the second whisperer.
Maybe he thinks bipartisan progress raises the Republicans almost to
his level, and he doesn't want to do that. They're partisan hacks,
they're not big like him. Let them flail.
This, however, is true: The great presidents are always in the end
uniters, not dividers. They keep it together and keep it going. And
people remember them fondly for that.
In the short term, Mr. Obama has won. The Republicans look bad. John
Boehner looks bad, though to many in Washington he's a sympathetic
figure because they know how much he wanted a historic agreement on the
great issue of his time. Some say he would have been happy to crown his
career with it, and if that meant losing a job, well, a short-term loss
is worth a long-term crown. Mr. Obama couldn't even make a deal with a
man like that, even when it would have made the president look good.
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